Weapon Testing Activities of the PRC

Counterintelligence Analysis 2
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Abstract
Weapon testing activities of the PRC led to increased suspicion of China regarding information theft. The United States Congress Commission was formed in 1998 to investigate the People's Republic of China's involvement in the illegal acquisition of classified information from the United States. This information entailed thermonuclear missile weapons, military technology, and also espionage. The outcome of the research and analysis led to the publishing of the Cox report. Furthermore, this report had significant implications for Americans since it disclosed essential information about their nation and developed new policies that ensured protection against their threats.[Alastair Iain, Johnston, W. K. H. Panofsky, Capua Di Marco, and Franklin R. Lewis. "The Cox committee report: an assessment." Carnegie Endowment (1999).]
The Cox report entails findings of the investigation by Congress into the threat posed by the PRC. Moreover, the Cox report entails information on China's espionage and illegal acquisition of the United States' technology. The report is presented in two parts; Volume I and II containing the analysis of classified information on warheads, the neutron bomb, and U.S. re-entry vehicles. The report also explores the possibilities of information leakage to the PRC and the future implementation of this information into their missile and space programs. Moreover, there are several claims of loopholes in the United States' security systems. Accusations point at U.S. aerospace companies and scientists who have facilitated pilferage of information to Chinese intelligence agencies. Several analytical methods have been incorporated in the development of the Cox report. Some of these techniques include contrarian and imaginative thinking, among others. For instance, imaginative thinking was incorporated to help establish new ideas and other outcome options. Whereas, contrarian technique was used to develop out-of-the-box thinking. Moreover, these techniques were utilized in the compilation of information that was used to design the report. This paper focuses on using these techniques to establish the effectiveness of counterintelligence analysis in the Cox report.[L-E, Nelson. "Report of the Select Committee on U.S. National Security and Military/Commercial Concerns with the People's Republic of China submitted by Mr. Cox of California, Chairman." New York Review of Books 46 (1999): 6-6, 2.] [Nelson, New York Review, III.]
Contrarian techniques.
The devil's advocacy is used in challenging an assumption regarding an important intelligent question. This technique helps highlight weaknesses in a current analytical judgment or reaffirms one's confidence by presenting an alternative hypothesis that further explains the current information. The devil's advocacy was used in analyzing whether the PRC stole advanced warhead originating in 1995. The method challenges a single held view by building alternative explanations. The technique found evidence contributing to the scenario that the PRC had stolen the U.S. nuclear secrets. The method further challenged the PRC's analytical capabilities by supporting the assumptions that the PRC had stolen nuc...