Quantitative Article Reviews. Management Research Paper.

Quantitative Article Reviews: APA Style
Student’s name
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Date
Quantitative Article Reviews
Article I
Bueno de Masquita, Bruce, Randolph M. Silverson, and Gary Woller. 1992. “War and the fate of Regimes: A Comparative Analysis.” The American Political Science Review. Vol.86, no. 3 (September): 638-646.
The Objective of the Study
The study examined conditions under which wars can lead to transitions in governments and other political regimes.
Research Design and Methodology
The study used data from the Correlates of War Project reported in Resort to Arms and Bank's Cross-Polity Time Series Data lists. The data covered international wars and forced regime changes that took place between 1815 and 1982. The criteria for selecting sample cases involved conditions that the war occurred between 1815 and 1982, and at least one thousand people died. Cases of war with no clear evidence about the winner or the loser were avoided. The selection criteria ensured that none of the selected cases had a regime transition due to other external factors, other than the war itself. Out of the total cases, only 177 met the requirements of the study. A random selection was conducted on the selected cases to ensure that each case had increased chances that it caused forced regime changes in one of the participants. Several variables were raised to evaluate whether there were regime changes during or within three years after the cases of war under review. Regime changes included the replacement of one elite by another. A cross-tabulation was conducted to determine the consequences of winning or losing a war on the fate of the regime. The Probit model was used to ascertain the overall relationship of the various variables to the likelihood of causing regime changes and how the variables interacted with each other.
Summary of The Results
The tabulation indicated a strong relationship between losing a war and drastic changes in political leadership (29.5%) whereas only 9.1% of the winners experienced a violent regime change. The results aligned with the hypothesis that victorious initiators of war experienced the least risk of violent regime changes than any other type of nation with a recent war experience. Also, the results indicated that victorious targets are less likely to suffer violent regime changes than a defeated target. Both victorious initiators and targets are less likely to experience violent regime changes compared to defeated initiators. Further analysis of the variables indicated that the likelihood of a violent change in regime increase as the costs of war increases. The study results led to the conclusion that regimes that initiated wars and failed were at the highest risk of being replaced while those who initiated and won were at a relatively lower risk, irrespective of the cost of the wars.
Advantages and Disadvantages of the Research Design
The main advantage of the study’s research design is its ability to reveal more than just a mere correlation between wars and violent regime changes. For example, it presents an estimate of the size of the effect of war on violent regime change against a baseline. The Probit model facilitated the specification and testing of quite spec...