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Pages:
1 page/β‰ˆ275 words
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2 Sources
Style:
APA
Subject:
Creative Writing
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Language:
English (U.S.)
Document:
MS Word
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Topic:

Poll Sampling Techniques in Election

Other (Not Listed) Instructions:

Your memo must be no less than 300 words and no more than 400 words. Why? Because it is challenging to write a short, substantial answer to a question. You will have to make choices about what to include and leave out. This is good practice for the working world. No matter what profession you enter, you will routinely have to demonstrate that you have understood complex material by prioritizing the most important elements in your writing.
For this Memo, you will draw on material from two podcasts for Weeks 9/10:
For Questions 1 and 2: Refer to this “The Daily” podcast (Links to an external site.) on the Nov. 2019 telephone survey poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College, with the goal of identifying which Democratic candidate was most electable against Donald Trump.
For Question 3: Refer to this NPR podcast (Links to an external site.), which compares and contrasts challenges of polling in 2016 and in 2020.
For each answer:
Find a specific piece of information from the podcast to summarize in your response—no direct quotes! I want to see what you think, not what the podcasters do.
Define any bolded words in the questions below your own words, as part of your answer.
Each answer should be a short paragraph; make sure you keep to the overall 300-400 word limit for the Memo.
How did the representativeness of the sampling methods used in 2016 lead to errors in predicting who would win the 2016 election?
Explain what the researchers did in their 2019 survey to correct for the mistakes in their 2016 research design. To answer this question, you can either focus on their decision:
(a) to limit the study to six key states, or
(b) to “weight” their sample to reflect the influence of certain kinds of voters. If you choose this point, explain what you understand “weighting” to be, in your own words.
In 2020, pollsters faced a different set of challenges because the pandemic prompted so many people to vote by mail ahead of election day, rather than in person. What challenges did that create around how voting questions were worded in their surveys, and how did that trigger social desirability in ways that were difficult to resolve?
Submission Guidelines
Failure to follow these submission guidelines will result in deducted points.
Memos must be at least 300 words and no more than 400 words.
Memos must be uploaded as to Canvas as Word documents (NOT as PDFs or Pages)
You are responsible for ensuring your assignment is successfully uploaded and that you have submitted the correct document. To be fair to all in such a large class, we cannot allow students to correct for either error after the due date and time. The Canvas time stamp determines if you submitted on time.
Grading Guidelines
If your memo thoughtfully and comprehensively answers all parts of the prompt (define the term in your own words, explain both sides of the argument, summarize a position based on that explanation) and meets the word limit (300-400 words), you will receive 15/15.
If you meet the above description, but one of the elements is missing or insubstantial, you will receive 13/15.
If you meet the above description, but two of the elements are missing or insubstantial, you will receive 12/15.
If the memo meets the basic requirements but does not fully address the prompt, you will receive 10/15.
Memos that are not submitted or do not fulfill the prompt will receive failing grades (i.e., the equivalent of a D or F)
1 2.https://podcasts(dot)apple(dot)com/us/podcast/the-daily/id1200361736?i=1000455979482
3. https://podcasts(dot)apple(dot)com/us/podcast/the-daily/id1200361736?i=1000455979482

Other (Not Listed) Sample Content Preview:

Better Poll Sampling Memo
Student Name:
Institution Affiliation
Course Name:
Professor's Name:
Date:
Date: 01/04/2022
To:
CC:
From: Poll Sampling Organization
RE: Poll Sampling Techniques in Election
Priority: (Not Urgent)
Poll Sampling techniques in Elections
Hello members, this memo aims to explain why the poll sampling techniques in 2016 led to errors, what the researchers did in their 2019 survey to correct the errors in their 2016 research design, and the impact of the Covid 19 pandemic on polling.
How the sampling techniques in 2016 led to the error
The volatility of the data caused the error in the sampling technique. Approximately 20% of voters were unsure whether or not to vote, and if they did vote, they did not have a preferred candidate from which to choose. This may have caused some voters to change their minds and vote for Trump at the last minute due to the high level of volatility.
What the researchers did in their 2019 survey to correct the mistakes in their 2016 research design
According to the findings of the 2016 election, it is probable that the researchers weighted their sample to represent the influence of sure voters in the sense that it attributed importance to a particular type of voters in...
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