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Social Sciences
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2022 New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District Election

Essay Instructions:

Report on New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
Chris Pappas vs Karoline Leavitt
What kind of district is this? What are the spatial/geographic characteristics of the district? What are the demographics of the district? Where does the district "fit" within the overall political and electoral situation in its particular state during this election cycle? Are there any senate or gubernatorial races that could impact the trajectory of the House race in question?
Draw upon the history of previous elections in this district to identify whether or not the district has traditionally voted for a Republican or Democratic candidate. In this regard, what kind of a district is this politically? Has it been or is it currently a "swing" district? Here make note, if necessary or relevant, as to whether or not the district has been redrawn, due to the 2020 census, since the last election in 2020. Has any redistricting occurred and, if so, could this have any bearing on the current race? Is there an incumbent? Or is it an open seat? Are there any third-party or independent candidates of note that could impact the outcome of the race? And, if so, how?
Focus on the candidates. Draw a biographical sketch of each candidate. What are the important aspects of each candidate’s background and why do you believe these are the most important?
Look at their official campaign/candidate sites. How do the respective candidate’s position themselves to the public and what does this day about how they view the electorate in their
district.
Take a look at their campaign ads and select one or two that you feel are illustrative of the candidate’s "brand", political personality, or mage-making. Analyze and breakdown the identified ads along these lines.
Track the race and respective campaigns on a daily and weekly basis. A timeline of the race could be useful here. Track any shifts in the polling on the race and if there are any significant shifts in the predictions for the outcome of the race identify and analyze why you feel these shifts occurred. How many debates were conducted between the candidates and when? Do the best you can to watch these debates (live or on replay). Who "won" the debate(s)? And did the debate(s) "move the needle" at all in the race?
For the Democrat candidate, how did they position themselves vis-à-vis President Joe Biden and broadly within the various dynamics of the current Democratic Party? For the Republican candidate, how did they position themselves vis-à-vis former President Donald Trump and broadly within the various dynamics of the current Republican Party? Did either Biden or Trump campaign in the district? How about other politicians from outside the state? Who came to campaign for the candidates? Why were they there? What did they say? How did they do?
What are/were the key issues (cultural, social, economic, education, health care that animated and energized the respective candidates' campaigns and the race overall? How did each candidate discuss and frame these issues? Which issue do you feel resonated the most with the electorate in the district? And based upon your observations of the House of Representatives race in question, identify, examine and discuss the issues you believe are among the most resonant in contemporary American political discourse and American political culture.
What else did you see in this campaign that you feel it would be important for your reader and peers to know about? Basically, beyond the above, what struck you the most about this House of Representatives race and why?
The After. What were the results of the race? Who won and why? Based upon your knowledge of the respective campaign(s) and overall race leading up to election night, were there any surprises? How was the turnout for the election? Who voted for who and why? Were the votes of any particular group determinate in the outcome of the race and, if so, why? And, in conclusion, can you identify any takeaways from this election for observers of and voters in future races in the district and state (senator and/or Governor) in question as well as the next Presidential election in the US in 2024?
Report sample:
https://drive(dot)google(dot)com/file/d/1RWcJGomQacqOSASaMt0H2ZhiEJtzrdZ7/view?usp=drivesdk

Essay Sample Content Preview:

Report On 2022 New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District Election
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Report On 2022 New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District Election
The Congressional District 1, NH, covers parts of Southern New Hampshire and the state's eastern portion. The district covers more than 80 communities in seven counties: Belknap, Carroll, Grafton, Hillsborough, Merrimack, Rockingham, and Strafford. Rockingham is the most populous among the counties. The Congressional District 1 is home to the University of New Hampshire, the largest in NH State. The total land area is 2,463.65 square miles. Urban areas occupy 16.0%, while rural land is 84.0% of the total land. In 2020, Congressional District 1, NH, has a population of 684,286 people from 680,153 in 2019 (Data USA, 2022). The median age is 42.2, which is 10% higher than the US figure of 38.8. The largest age group is 50-59, accounting for 15% of the population. The number is about the same rate in New Hampshire of 15%, but 20% higher than the US rate of 13%. The lowest age group is above 80 years, which accounts for 4% of the population (Census Reporter, 2022). Regarding race and ethnicity, whites account for the largest number (89.4%). The other ethnic groups include Asian (2.76%), Hispanic (2.42%), Non-Hispanic (2.22%), and Black (1.53%) (Census Reporter, 2022). English is the most commonly spoken language in the area, with only 8.19% of the households speaking non-English languages at home as their primary shared language.
In 2003, the district elected Jeb Bradley, a Republican. Bradley was reelected in 2004. However, in 2007, Bradley lost the reelection to Carol Shea-Porter, a Democrat. Shea-Porter in 2008 and got reelected. However, she lost the reelection in 2011 to Frank Guinta, a Republican. When Guinta ran for a second term, he lost the reelection to Shea-Porter. Shea-Porter served until January 3, 2019, when she retired. Chris Pappas, a Democrat, succeeded Shea-Porter on January 3, 2019. Given that the district has been electing representatives from both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, it qualified as a swing district. Electing representatives from both divides demonstrates that each political party enjoys similar levels of support among the voters. Since Congressional District 1, NH is a swing district, it could select either a Democrat or Republican representative in the 2022 elections.
The Congressional District 1, NH, has an incumbent, Chris Pappas. He is a member of the New Hampshire Democratic Party. From 2013 to 2019, Pappas represented the 4th district on the New Hampshire Executive Council. In the 2018 election, Pappas succeeded Shea-Porter on a Democratic ticket. Incumbent Pappas would be contrasting November 8, 2022, elections after advancing for the Democratic Primary on September 13, 2022. He got 41,990 votes, which is 100% of the votes in the primaries. Pappas would face Karoline Leavitt in the November 8, 2022, elections. Leavitt ran for the Republican primary for US House New Hampshire District 1 on September 13, 2022. Nine other others run for the Republican primaries. Leavitt got 15,290 (33.4%) votes and emerged as the winner. She will be seeking to oust the uncombed through the Republi...
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