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Management
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Topic:

Decision-Making Rule. Management Essay. Decision-making Under Risk

Essay Instructions:

Instructions
In an essay of no less than three pages, explain (1) the criteria for decision-making under uncertainty and (2) decision-making under risk. What is the difference between these two “other-than-certainty” classifications? Include examples of each in the essay.
Be sure to provide research to support your ideas. Use APA style, and cite and reference your sources to avoid plagiarism.
Resources

 

maker.
(a) What type of decision is Ken facing?
(b) What decision criterion should he use?
(c) What alternative is best?
8 Although Ken Brown (discussed in Problem 3-17) is the principal owner of Brown Oil, his brother Bob is credited with making the company a financial success. Bob is vice president of finance. Bob attributes his success to his pessimistic attitude about business and the oil industry. Given the information from Problem 3-17, it is likely that Bob will arrive at a different decision. What decision criterion should Bob use, and what alternative will he select?
. 19 The Lubricant is an expensive oil newsletter to which
many oil giants subscribe, including Ken Brown (see
Problem 3-17 for details). In the last issue, the letter
described how the demand for oil products would be
extremely high. Apparently, the American consumer
will continue to use oil products even if the price of
these products doubles. Indeed, one of the articles in
the Lubricant states that the chances of a favorable
market for oil products was 70%, while the chance
of an untavorable market was only 30%. Ken would
like to use these probabilities in determining the best decision. ®

 

does the utility curve for these types of decision makers differ?Problems
7 Kenneth Brown is the principal owner of Brown OilInc. After quitting his university teaching job, Ken has been able to increase his annual salary by a factor of over 100. At the present time, Ken is forced to consider purchasing some more equipment for Brown Oil because of competition. His alternatives are shown in the following table:FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE MARKET MARKET
IH($) ($>200,000
■100,000
-18,000For example, if Ken purchases a Sub 100 and if there is a favorable market, he will realize a profit of $300,000. On the other hand, if the market is' problem may be solved with Excel QM; and £ means the problem may be

Essay Sample Content Preview:

Decision Making Rule
Institutional Affiliation
Students Name
Course
Date
Decision Making Rule
Decision making can be defined as the deciding among two or more alternatives so as to get to the solution of the given problem. Decision making process usually seeks a certain goal, to make sure that the goals are achieved an organization must have a strong base for solving the issues that are likely to occur in different departments (Averweg, 2017). Making decision has become an important aspect in management of all the organizations. Every manager must make decision making as a key component in their organization to make sure that they are able to achieve their organizational goals. Decision making is evident in almost everything that we do thus it is significant to be able to understand the process of making decision.
Decision making under risk
In case the manager does not have the accurate data there is always existence of risks. In the condition of risk, the individual making decisions tend to have incomplete data concerning the choices available but usually have a great idea of the probability of the outcomes of every items. Decision making in the risk state of the individual have to make the determination probability which is closely associated with every alternative on the basis of the data availability (Averweg, 2017). When managers choose decisions under uncertainty or risk, they ought to by somehow merge this peril into their process of making decisions. Conditions of risks happen in case a manager has to choose a decision and the outcome isn't identified with affirmation. In this condition, the manager can come up with a summary of each and every comprehensible outcome and distribute the probabilities to different outcomes.
The different policies for making decision under risk require data around a couple of unmistakable factors which include:
i)The foreseen value of the scattering,
ii)Standard deviation
iii)Variation. .
These rules can simply guide a managers in when making risky decisions. The certified decisions made by will rely in enormous measure on the availability of the manager to put it all on the line. The theory of expected utility usually explains the ways of making decisions in any risk situations (Baker, 2018). The attitude of the manager towards making decisions is determined by the utility function for the profit. When the manager maximizes the utility that is expected for profit, the decision usually differs from the de...
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