Elective Module F: Critiquing a Risk Analysis Method

Critiquing a Risk Analysis Method
(Student’s name)
Social Sciences
(Institutional affiliation)
Critiquing a Risk Analysis Method
The authors are Martin M. Plum, Jerry H. Phillips, Patrick H. McCabe, David H. van Haaften, David I. Gertman, James A. Vail, Kyle S. Staples, Robert E. Polk, George A. Beitel, Ronald L. Boring, Jeffrey C. Joe, and Garrold L. Sommers. The point of view of the authors is the need to study the risk of terrorist attack and improve the awareness of decision-makers about the probability of an attack. In addition, a threat-risk index is used to provide information for an upgrade or to update codes in detecting terrorist attacks.
The question that they are trying to answer is: “How is the probability of a terrorist attack detected and what can be done to improve the alertness of decision-makers?” This is the question behind the study because their point of view pertains to the level of risk that can be detected before a terrorist attack. The method works by first using a targeting model which has a series of logic models that represent the human response. After that, the human reliability model with the same set of series is used. They have a physical system model that has failure models, flood inundation model, and a model to demonstrate the loss of service. The software programs SAPHIRE and INEEL event/fault tree were acquired to study fault. The loss model shows a socioeconomic account of the level of attractiveness of potential targets, or the potential damage caused by an attack. ...