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Pages:
3 pages/≈825 words
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Style:
Chicago
Subject:
Literature & Language
Type:
Essay
Language:
English (U.S.)
Document:
MS Word
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Total cost:
$ 10.8
Topic:

looking back from 2050

Essay Instructions:
write a short story that responds to this prompt Topic Looking Back From 2050 This is an exercise in "backcasting." Here's a quote from a Wikipedia article about this technique: Backcasting starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect the future to the present. The fundamental question of backcasting asks: "if we want to attain a certain goal, what actions must be taken to get there?" Forecasting is the process of predicting the future based on current trend analysis. Backcasting approaches the challenge of discussing the future from the opposite direction. "... A method in which the future desired conditions are envisioned and steps are then defined to attain those conditions, rather than taking steps that are merely a continuation of present methods extrapolated into the future." There's no "right or wrong answer" to this exercise. It's about envisioning and storytelling. But it's also about thinking through a plausible and pragmatic story, one that both feels "true" to you- and that you would like to help fulfill. ----- Please envision that it is the year 2050. Humanity has faced several challenging and difficult decades and there are still monumental challenges ahead. There have been serious climate-related challenges, numerous extinctions and disruptions of natural habitat, and sometimes-serious disruptions of supplies of food, water, fuels, wood, and minerals. Significant numbers of people are "environmental refugees," forced to migrate because of adverse environmental conditions in their homelands. These challenges have sometimes triggered economic disruptions and tensions between nations, sometimes flaring into military conflict. But: there is a growing sense among humanity that the worst is over. We have begun a worldwide transition to a sustainable civilization, in which the basic necessities and decencies of a fulfilling life are available to everyone - all 9 billion of us - without the need to continuously erode the natural systems on which humanity depends. We're easing down to a "One-Planet" ecological footprint. We can foresee the end of the fossil-fuel era, and we've managed to keep greenhouse-gas levels below thresholds that would lead to catastrophic tipping points. A lot of effort will be needed for adaptation to a warming world, but as one analyst put it, we have learned to "manage the unavoidable and avoid the unmanageable." Worldwide, people are innovating the way we plan and build cities, construct buildings and infrastructure, transport ourselves, grow food, obtain and use material resources, water, and energy, process sewage and other "waste" products, design and use products, and divide our time among education, leisure, travel, family life, and earning a living. An older person, someone alive at the dawn of the 21st century, is telling some young people a story of how this happened. This elder won't know the whole story of course, but they can recount their recollections of key events, their perceptions at various times, how their own living habits and profession changed, the new things they learned along the way. Please be that elder and tell that story, as best you can.
Essay Sample Content Preview:
Looking Back From 2050 Name Course Instructor Date The world has changed and every day millions of people are born, and I can say confidently that with improved health services the population will continue to increase as will competition for resources. This is not a scenario that started yesterday, but one that has occurred over time, growing up there was no mention of the effect of carbon emissions. The bigger vehicle you bought the more people viewed you as prosperous regardless of how this contributed towards greenhouse gas emission. Now that I am older and wiser, I have grown to appreciate the use of low-carbon technology. It is not always the attitude of what I want and disregarding humanity and how my actions affect other people. This world is enough for all of us, and each has the responsibility to support environmental protection. I loved visiting my grandparents in Louisiana, and as a child staying in the outdoors either fishing or farming was fun. However, over time my relatives living there voiced concerns that there were losing lands since they lived along the coastal strip. This spurred me to understand how sustainability initiatives affect people’s lives. Despite recognition for decades that policy makers and legislators would play a crucial role in revamping the area, the distrust of government led initiatives has meant that there was no consensus on the best way forward. Back then information on the likely impact of sea level rise was scanty. You do not see the sinking coast being submerged in water, but gradually we notices the shrinking mass land, and in today’s world where there are controversies about climate change look no further than Louisiana. In my teenage years, my grandparents relocated to the inland, to continue with large scale farming. However, others have not been as lucky since land has vanished and created climate refugees. This is especially for Naïve Americans who are accustomed to living along the coast, and it is no surprise that in my 20’s more people chose relocation and resettlement. The places where we would walk are now covered in water, and the sea level rises are here to stay, but the recognition that human activities may accelerate land loss shows the need to slow down the damage caused by the rising sea level rise. I tell you this for those who forget the past are unlikely to learn, and one of the most devastating events was a hurricane that rava...
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